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6:00 PM |
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Conference Registration |
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8:00 PM |
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Welcome Reception/Dinner |
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7:30 AM |
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Breakfast |
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8:20 AM |
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Welcome & Opening Remarks |
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Session I
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Paloetempestology Chair: Pier Luigi Vidale |
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8:30 AM |
1 |
Using the geologic record to determine long-term trends in hurricane landfalls along the west Florida coastline Joanne Muller, Christian Ercolani, Jennifer Collins and Charlie Paxton |
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9:00 AM |
2 |
Geologic Records of Holocene Typhoon Strikes on the Gulf of Thailand Coast. Harry Williams, Montri Choowong, Sumet Phantuwongraj, Peerasit Surakietchai, Thanakrit Thongkhao and Eric Simon |
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9:30 AM |
3 |
Speleothem paleotempestology and hurricane-climate-human interactions: An update from the paleoclimate underground Amy Frappier |
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10:00 AM |
4 |
Coastal Georgia’s Hurricanes: 1750-2010 Mark Welford and Brian Bossak |
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10:30 AM |
5 |
North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Response to Past Radiative Forcing Revealed by Shipwreck Rates Valerie Trouet, Grant Harley and Marta Dominguez |
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11:00 AM |
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Coffee Break & Poster Viewing |
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Session II
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Model studies Chair: Greg Holland |
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12:00 PM |
6 |
Extended range forecast of typhoon genesis and boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation using a nonhydrostatic global atmospheric model (NICAM). Masuo Nakano, Tomoe Nasuno, Kazuyoshi Kikuchi and Masaki Satoh |
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12:30 PM |
7 |
Characteristics of intensity changes of tropical cyclones in the Northwestern Pacific in track data and simulations by global and regional atmosphere models Sachie Kanada |
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1:00 PM |
8 |
Quantifying the Effects of Long-term Climate Change on Typhoon Rainfall near Taiwan using a Cloud-Resolving Model Chung-Chieh Wang, Lishan Tseng, Chien-Chang Huang and Bo-Xun Lin |
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1:30 PM |
9 |
The U.S. CLIVAR Hurricane Working Group Kevin Walsh, Suzana Camargo and Gabriel Vecchi |
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2:00 PM |
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Lunch/Informal Discussions |
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7:30 PM |
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Dinner/Informal Discussions at a local Greek Restaurant |
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7:30 AM |
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Breakfast |
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Session III |
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Large-scale environmental influences Chair: Chung-Chieh Wang |
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8:30 AM |
10 |
How has the expansion of the tropics affected tropical cyclogenesis? Anne Sophie Daloz, J.P. Kossin, D. Vimont and K.E. Emanuel |
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9:00 AM |
11 |
Dynamical evidence for causality between galactic cosmic rays and interannual variation in global temperature Anastasios Tsonis, Ethan Deyle, Robert May, George Sugihara, Kyle Swanson and Geli Wang |
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9:30 AM |
12 |
Variability in tropical cyclone heat potential over the SW Indian Ocean and implications for regional rainfall and tropical cyclone intensity and track Chris Reason, Neil Malan, Daneeja Mawren and Ben Loveday |
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10:00 AM |
13 |
Global seasonal forecasts of tropical cyclone activity using the Met Office seasonal prediction system GloSea5 Joanne Camp |
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10:30 AM |
14 |
Interannual to decadal variability of Tropical Cyclones in a hierarchy of global climate models with increasing resolution in the atmosphere and ocean. Pier Luigi Vidale, Malcolm Roberts, Alison Cobb and Kevin Hodges |
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11:00 AM |
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Coffee Break & Poster Viewing |
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Session IV |
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Wind and surge Chair: Alexey Fedorov |
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11:45 AM |
15 |
A physical model for the complete radial structure of the tropical cyclone wind field Daniel Chavas, Ning Lin and Kerry Emanuel |
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12:15 PM |
16 |
Assessment and Application of a Parametric Hurricane Surface Wind Model for Tropical Cyclones in the Gulf of Mexico Qin Chen and Kelin Hu |
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12:45 PM |
17 |
Impact of Future Tropical Cyclones on Storm Surges around the Korean Peninsula Jihee Oh, Sooyoul Kim, Kyung-Duck Suh, Tomohiro Yasuda and Hajime Mase |
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1:15 PM |
18 |
Identifying Spatial Evolution of Convective Rainbands in Landfall Hurricanes Using High-Resolution Doppler Radar Mosaic Jingyin Tang and Corene Matyas |
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1:45 PM |
19 |
Quantifying Uncertainty and Uncertain Probabilities in Hurricane Induced Risk Assessment and Mitigation Planning Under a Changing Climate Sai Ravela, Clea Denamiel, Henry Jacoby and Jen Holak |
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2:15 PM |
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Lunch/Informal Discussions |
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7:30 PM |
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Dinner/Informal Discussions at a local Greek Restaurant |
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7:30 AM |
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Breakfast |
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Session V
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Intensity Chair: Mark Guishard |
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9:00 AM |
20 |
Tropical cyclogenesis: effects of model resolution and hypohydrostatic rescaling Alexey Fedorov, William Boos and Les Muir |
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9:30 AM |
21 |
Global and regional variability of tropical cyclone-induced ocean warming Isaac Ginis and Michael Bueti |
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10:00 AM |
22 |
On the Near-time SST and TC Intensity at eastern North Pacific basin Jerry Jien, William Gough and Ken Butler |
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10:30 AM |
23 |
The Tropical Cyclone Diurnal Cycle- The Great Hurricane Exhale Jason Dunion |
| 11:00 AM | 24 | Tropical Cyclone Integrated Kinetic Energy in the Atlantic Basin Mark Powell and Michael Kozar |
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11:30 AM |
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Coffee Break & Poster Viewing |
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Session VI |
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Modeling studies Chair: Mark Powell |
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12:00 PM |
25 |
The Effects of Sea Spray on Deep Mixed-Phase Convective Clouds and Intensity of Hurricanes Alexander Khain |
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12:30 PM |
26 |
Do tropical cyclone cold wakes impact storm climatology in a high-resolution global model? Colin Zarzycki |
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1:00 PM |
27 |
Modeled sensitivity of the northwestern Pacific upper-ocean response to tropical cyclones in a fully-coupled climate model with varying ocean grid resolution Hui Li, Ryan Sriver and Marlos Goes |
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1:30 PM |
28 |
The Ensemble Forecasting of Tropical Cyclone Track Based on Targeted Systems Perturbation Method Xiaogang Huang, Jianfang Fei and Xiaoping Cheng |
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2:00 PM |
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Lunch/Informal Discussions |
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3:00 PM |
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City Tour (depart from the hotel lobby at 3:00PM) |
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7:30 PM |
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Dinner/Informal Discussions at a local Greek Restaurant |
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7:30 AM |
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Breakfast |
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Session VII |
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Future scenarios Chair: Amy Frappier |
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9:00 AM |
29 |
TC or not TC? How should TCs be identified in modern reanalyses and climate models? Alison Cobb, Pier-Luigi Vidale and Kevin Hodges |
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9:30 AM |
30 |
Tropical Cyclone rainfall changes in a warmer climate Enrico Scoccimarro, Gabriele Villarini, Silvio Gualdi, Antonio Navarra, Gabriel Vecchi, Kevin Walsh and Ming Zhao |
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10:00 AM |
31 |
Evaluating Extreme Events in a High-Resolution Regional Climate Ensemble Cindy Bruyère, Mari Themaritye, David Keelings, Abigail Jaye and Mukul Tewari |
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10:30 AM |
32 |
Inconsistencies in future changes in tropical cyclone statistics between CMIP5-class models and state of the art high resolution atmospheric models Michael Wehner, Kevin Reed, Mr Prabhat, Hari Krishnan, Daithi Stone and William Collins |
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11:00 AM |
33 |
Investigation of Climate Forcing Agents on Tropical Belt Width Through the 21st Century. Osinachi Ajoku |
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11:30 AM |
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Coffee Break & Poster Viewing |
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Session VIII
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Future Scenario, con't. and Risk Assessment Chair: Harry Williams |
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12:00 PM |
34 |
The Engineering for Climate Extremes Partnership (ECEP) Greg Holland, Mari Tye, James Done, Cindy Bruyere and Heather Lazrus |
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12:30 PM |
35 |
Forecast Skill Assesment of Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Wind Damage Potential over a 5-year Horizon Louis-Philippe Caron, Leon Hermanson and Francisco Doblas-Reyes |
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1:00 PM |
36 |
Case studies of site specific storm tide and wave induced damage to coastal structures and dunes during Hurricane Sandy and the need for more high temporal resolution instrumentation to quantify the effect of waves on structural damage. Anthony Johnson |
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1:30 PM |
37 |
On Tropical and Subtropical Climate Variations Arthur Miller |
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2:00 PM |
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Closing Remarks |
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2:15 PM |
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Lunch/Informal Discussions |
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8:00 PM |
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Farewell Dinner |
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7:30 AM |
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Breakfast |
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9:00 AM |
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Departure |
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POSTERS |
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38 |
Precipitation Properties Observed during Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change |
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39 |
Hurricanes - structural and microclimate alterations of forest canopies and their contribution to the distribution of mechanically dependent plants along a gradient of past impact |
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40 |
Forecasting Catastrophe Losses in Changing Climate – a Market-Based Forward-Looking Approach |
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41 |
Water budget in Atlantic Tropical Cyclones and rainfall sensitivity to global warming |
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42 |
A Comparison of Two Allocation Schemes in a Land Surface Model |
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43 |
Decadal variability of North African mineral dust and its semi-direct effect on tropical Atlantic stratocumulus clouds during boreal summer in CESM |
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44 |
On predicting future economic losses from tropical cyclones: Comparing damage functions for the Eastern United States |
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45 |
Trends in Normalized US hurricane damages |
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46 |
Saharan Air Layer Dust Loading & Convective Strength of Tropical Cloud Clusters |
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47 |
Characteristics of Binary Tropical Cyclones Observed in the Western North Pacific for 62 Years (1951-2012) |
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48 |
Evaluation of a Regional Climate Ensemble using Self-Organizing Maps |
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49 |
Diagnosis of hurricanes based on statistical properties of vorticity Alexander Kislov |
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50 |
Climate Change: Rainfall extremes and NPK-fertilization effects on maize (Zea mays L.) yield |
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51 |
Four Hurricane/Typhoon Disasters in US and China: A Evidence for Validity of Probability Prediction by Compound Extreme Value Distribution |
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52 |
On predicting future economic losses from tropical cyclones: Comparing damage functions for the Eastern United States |
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53 |
The Warm Core of a Tropical Cyclone Formed near the Tropopause |
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54 |
Dynamical link between tropical Indian Ocean and Cyclones |
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55 |
Diagnostic Analysis on the Vertical Speed of Tornadoes |
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56 |
Current and future tropical cyclone activity in high-resolution global model ensemble simulations |
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57 |
Streamflow and precipitation alteration across the Niger river basin in West Africa: Feedback of environmental degradation |
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58 |
Impact of Aquarius Sea Surface salinity assimilation in improving the ocean state |
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59 |
Statistical Seasonal Forecasting of Tropical Cyclone Tracks and Landfall in the North Indian Ocean Region |
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60 |
TBO and Tropical Cyclone Activities |
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61 |
The characteristics of the intensity and meridional position of the East Asian jet stream in winter |
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62 |
Reconstructions of extreme floods from Taihu Lake sediment records and archeological evidence, China and linkages with historical PDO changes |
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63 |
Understanding dynamics of tropical cyclones with the moist-convective rotating shallow water model |
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64 |
Southwest Florida Paleotempestology Records |
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65 |
Effects of the Water Substance Allocation on the Rainfall of Landing Tropical Cyclone |
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66 |
High Resolution WRF Simulations of Hurricane Irene: Sensitivity to Aerosols and Choice of Microphysical schemes |
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67 |
Influence of ENSO on Tropical Cyclones in North Atlantic in a high-resolution climate model |
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68 |
Assessing the impact of additional observation points on tropical cyclone risk estimates |
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69 |
Change of Environmental Controlling Parameters for Tropical Cyclone Genesis under Global Warming |
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70 |
Medium-Range Cloud-Resolving Typhoon Rainfall Ensemble Forecasts for Taiwan through Time-Lagged Approach |
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71 |
Paleo-storm surge deposits detection at the west coast of South Korea based on multi-proxy data |