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GENERAL INFORMATION Accommodations The conference participants will be staying at the Aldemar:
Breakfast
Breakfast will
be served at your hotel during the hours scheduled in this program. Conference
Venue The Aldemar: Oral
Presentations An LCD projector
and an overhead projector will be available for the oral presentations. Speakers are asked to bring their USB flash
drive or CD to the conference reception desk at least 30 minutes prior to the
session. The allocated time for all
presentations, unless otherwise indicated, includes five minutes Q&A. Posters Posters should
be mounted Monday 7:45 AM, May 28, on the designated boards and dismounted at
the end of the meeting. The dimensions of the boards are 90W x 150H cm.
Adhesive tape for mounting the posters on the boards will be available at the
poster area. Internet Internet will be available for participants during
the meeting hours free of charge. Welcome
Reception and Gala Dinner Badges are required
for admission. Tour to Busses for the island tour will be leaving from the
hotel on Wednesday, May 30 at 2:30 p.m. Accompanying persons will also be
picked up at the hotel front lobby at that time. Badges are required
for participation. Lunches Lunches will be served at the indicated times to all
registered participants and registered accompanying persons in the hotel. Badges are required for admission. Tour and
Travel Information A desk operated by the personnel of our official travel
agency, “ERA Ltd.”, 8 Alexandrou Soutsou Str., Kolonaki 10671 Athens –
Greece Tel.: 30-210-363-4944, FAX: 30-210-3631690, E-Mail: info@era.gr will be located at the conference center throughout
the meeting. All Aegean Conferences events are smoke free. |
Sunday, May 27 |
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5:00 - 8:00 PM |
Open Registration |
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8:00 PM |
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Welcome
Reception/Dinner |
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Monday, May 28 |
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8:15 AM |
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Welcome and Opening Remarks
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J
Elsner and R Murnane |
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Session
I |
Chair: R
Murnane |
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8:30 AM |
1 |
On the relation between
ENSO and global temperature AA
Tsonis and JB Elsner |
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9:05 AM |
2 |
Downscaling
hurricane climatologies from IPCC climate model projections K
Emanuel |
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9:40 AM |
3 |
Detection and attribution
of climate change effects on tropical cyclones KJE
Walsh |
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10:15 AM |
4 |
Possible aerosol effects on lightning
and intensity of hurricanes A
Khain, D Rosenfeld, B Lynn, Y Segal, and N Cohen |
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11:00 AM |
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Coffee Break & Poster
Session |
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Session
II |
Chair: J
Elsner |
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12:30 PM |
5 |
J
Donnelly, P Lane, E Scileppi, and J Woodruff |
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1:00 PM |
6 |
How science speaks: Are scientists’ opinions hampering communication
about tropical cyclones and climate change? A
Henderson-Sellers |
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1:30 PM |
7 |
Increased tropical Atlantic wind shear in model
projections of global warming GA
Vecchi and BJ Soden |
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2:00 PM |
8 |
Modulation
of tropical cyclone activity: Large-scale climatic and small-scale internal
processes J Kossin and D Vimont |
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2:30 PM |
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Lunch |
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8:00 PM |
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Dinner at a Local Greek Tavern |
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The bus for the tavern will depart from the hotel at
7:30 PM |
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Tuesday, May 29
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Session
III |
Chair: A
Tsonis |
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8:30 AM |
9 |
The atmospheric/oceanic
memory of tropical cyclones and their aggregate role in modifying climate RE
Hart, RN Maue, M Watson, LF Bosart, and C Hosler |
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9:05 AM |
10 |
The
water and energy budgets of hurricanes and implications for climate change KE
Trenberth |
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9:40 AM |
11 |
The
interaction between sub tropical cyclones and mountainous terrain in G |
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10:15 AM |
12 |
Tropical storms:
Representation in climate models and the impacts of climate change RE
McDonald, DG Bleaken, DR Cresswell, VD Pope, and CA Senior |
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10:40 AM |
13 |
Global climate change and hurricane activity M
Kafatos, Z Boybeyi, and D Sun |
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11:00 AM |
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Coffee Break & Poster Session |
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Session IV |
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Chair: T
Jagger |
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11:55 AM |
14 |
Impact of climate
variability on land-falling tropical cyclones in C Arthur, |
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12:20 PM |
15 |
Integrating
science and politics: G
Sussman |
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12:45 PM |
16 |
A statistical and physical analysis of
near-term hurricane landfall risk P Dailey, G Ljung, G Zuba, and J Guin |
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1:10 PM |
17 |
Global warming and the
tropical cyclone climatology as simulated in a 20-KM-Mesh global atmospheric
model J
Yoshimura, K Oouchi, H Yoshimura, R Mizuta, |
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1:35 PM |
18 |
Changes in tropical cyclone activity
due to global warming results from a high-resolution coupled general
circulation model S Gualdi, E Scoccimarro, and A Navarra |
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2:00 PM |
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Lunch |
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Dinner at a |
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Wednesday, May 30 |
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Session
V |
Chair: K
Liu |
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8:30 AM |
19 |
JC Moore, A Grinsted, and S Jevrejeva |
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9:05 AM |
20 |
Tropical cyclones in
re-analyses and the ECHAM5 climate model: Response to climate change KI
Hodges, L Bengtsson, M Esch, |
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9:40 AM |
21 |
Global climate change and
the tropical cyclone palaeo-record in J Nott |
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10:15 AM |
22 |
Characteristics
of future tropical cyclone seasons from climate model results K McGuffie |
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10:40 AM |
23 |
Intensity
variation of typhoons made landfall over the Korean peninsula with global
warming IJ Moon
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11:00 AM |
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Coffee
Break & Poster Session |
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Session
VI |
Chair: J
Donnelly |
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12:10 AM |
24 |
Hurricanes and climate modes in tree-ring isotopes: What O and C
say about AMO, PDO, and ENSO CI
Mora, WN Kocis, DB Lewis, HD Grissino-Mayer, and DL Miller |
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12:30 PM |
25 |
Modeling damages caused by
tropical storm activity in the TH
Jagger and JB Elsner |
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12:50 PM |
26 |
Predictions of hurricanes
making landfall in the K
Coughlin, S Jewson, E Bellone, S Khare, T Laepple, M Lonfat, K Nzerem, A
O’Shay, and J Penzer |
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1:10 PM |
27 |
Theoretical estimation of the mean rainfall field in tropical cyclones: Axi-symmetric component and asymmetry due to
motion A
Langousis, D Veneziano, and S Chen |
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1:30 PM |
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Lunch |
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2:30 PM |
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Tour to Knossos Archaeological site
& Archaeological Museum of Heraklion |
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The bus for the
tour will depart from the hotel at 2:30 PM |
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8:00 PM |
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Dinner at a local Greek Tavern |
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Thursday, May 31 |
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Session
VII |
Chair: J |
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8:30 AM |
28 |
A
possible mechanism of the changes in tropical cyclone frequency and intensity
due to global warming as indicated by GCMs M Sugi and J Yoshimura |
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9:05 AM |
29 |
Comparison of high
resolution climate model simulations of tropical cyclones over the North-West
Australian region 1970-2000 LM
Leslie, M Leplastrier, and BW Buckley |
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9:40 AM |
30 |
Effects of sea-surface
temperature on North American tropical cyclone landfall TM
Hall and |
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10:15 AM |
31 |
The use of synthetic
hurricane tracks in risk analysis and climate change damage assessment S Hallegatte |
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10:40 AM |
32 |
Paleotempestology:
Research frontiers, needs, and priorities KB Liu |
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11:00 AM |
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Coffee Break & Poster Session |
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Session
VIII |
Chair: R
Hart |
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12:30 AM |
33 |
Emerging opportunities in
tropical cyclone-climate research at the intersection between paleotempestology
and tropical cyclone dynamics AB Frappier, T Knutson, K-b Liu, and K Emanuel |
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1:00 PM |
34 |
Response of tropical
cyclogenesis to global warming in IPCC AR-4 scenarios asses by a modified
yearly genesis parameter JF Royer and F Chauvin |
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1:30 PM |
35 |
Hurricane risk models for
a changing climate JB
Elsner and TH Jagger |
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2:00 PM |
36 |
Case
study of the extratropical transition of S Buss, S Gigandet,
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2:30 PM |
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Concluding Remarks, Acknowledgments and Award Presentation J
Elsner and R Murnane |
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2:45 PM |
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Lunch |
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8:00 PM |
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Gala Dinner at Aldemar: Knossos Royal
Village |
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Friday, June 1
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7:30 AM |
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Breakfast |
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Departures |
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POSTERS |
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37 |
Tropical cyclogenesis sensitivity to sea-surface temperature and
mean surface wind DS
Nolan, ED Rappin, and KA Emanuel |
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38 |
A new
approach to the mechanism of origin and development of powerful atmospheric
vortices EA
Pashitskii, D Anchishkin, V Mal’nev, and R Naryshkin |
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39 |
The ITCZ, TA McCloskey and JT Knowles |
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40 |
Application of a new index
for tropical cyclone development to observations and results from climate
models JAT
Bye and W Cai |
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41 |
ENSO
and western North Pacific tropical cyclone activity simulated in a CGCM |
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42 |
Effect of air-sea coupling
in the assessment of CO2-induced intensification
of tropical cyclone activity A Hasegawa and |
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43 |
The variability and future
change in the occurrence of tropical cyclones in the southwest Pacific region W May |
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44 |
Tropical
cyclones over the MA Gaertner, M
Domínguez, V Gil, and E Sánchez |
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45 |
A multi-member ensemble
climate impact assessment |
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46 |
Impact
of an increased sea surface temperature on T
Semmler, S Varghese, R McGrath, P Nolan, |
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47 |
Understanding the wind
field evolution associated with the extratropical transition of tropical
cyclone Bonnie (1998) C Evans and B Hart |
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48 |
Variability of landfalling
tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific and MR Lowry, JJ O’Brien, and G Watry |
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49 |
Supertyphoons in the
western North Pacific
Part II: Rapid intensification and atmospheric
features
I-I Lin, Chun-Chieh Wu, Sau-Ni Hui, and Iam-Fei Pun |
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50 |
Supertyphoons in the
western North Pacific Part I: Warm ocean features as boosters to super
typhoons
Chun-Chieh Wu, I-I Lin, and Iam-Fei Pun |
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51 |
Space
based bistatic altimeter: Sea and surface state monitoring G
Picardi, A Marini, AMasdea, F Piccari, R Seu, and PT Melacci |
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52 |
Recent
climate change visualized by self-organizing map |
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53 |
Using reanalysis datasets
for tropical cyclone intensity trends RN Maue and RE Hart |
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54 |
Electrification
in hurricanes over the tropical J Pittman, T Chronis, F Robertson, and T Miller |
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55 |
Altimeter dual-frequency
observations of surface winds, waves, and rain rate in tropical cyclone
Isabel Y Quilfen, J
Tournadre, and B Chapron |
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56 |
On the recent increments of
the tropical cyclones in the IV Meteorological region C Enrique Buendía |
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57 |
On the recent increment of
the hurricanes in the MO Delgado Delgado |
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58 |
Hurricane tracking in the |
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59 |
A new
approach for determining the starting analysis date of the rainfall regime in
the Mediterranean region H Reiser and H Kutiel |
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60 |
The
North Sea – Caspian pattern: Main atmospheric forcing affecting the
temperature and precipitation regimes in the Middle East H
Kutiel |
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61 |
Modelling the climate
change induced risk of malaria transmission in lower Saxony ( G Schmidt and W Schröder |
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62 |
Mapping biological effects of
climate change in C Englert, G Schmidt, and W Schröder |
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63 |
Study on soil respiration model
coupled with biotic factor B
Jia, G Zhou, Y Wang, and Y Wang |
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64 |
The study of the effect of L
Ruiqi,
L Tiantian, G Haifeng, and L Yannan |
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65 |
Upper-troposhere effects
of Hurricane Olga (2001) in the development of torrential rains in Istrael SO
Krichak and P Alpert |
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66 |
The atlantic meridional mode and hurricane activity DJ
Vimont and JP Kossin |
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67 |
Anthropogenic influences on intense hurricanes in
the G
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68 |
Estimating event intensity
from storm deposits: Centennial-to-millennial scale reconstruction from the
western JD Woodruff, JP Donnelly, and D Mohrig |